Red state blue state rich state poor state why americans vote the way they do gelman andrew park david shor boris bafumi joseph isbn 9780691139272 kostenloser versand fur alle bucher mit versand und verkauf duch amazon. Red state blue state rich state poor state why americans vote the way they do andrew gelman dept of statistics and dept of political science columbia university 29 oct 2010 andrew gelman red state blue state rich state poro state 2 62 geography income and voters explanations and implications extra material election 2010 the radopax journalists get it wrong and right election 2010 i . Attempting to explain why americans vote the way they do gelman and a group of fellow political scientists crunch numbers and draw graphs arriving at a picture that refutes the influential one drawn by thomas frank in whats the matter with kansas of poor red staters voting republican against their economic interests instead gelman persuasively argues the poor in both red states and blue still mostly vote democratic and the rich nationally speaking overwhelmingly vote republican . Granted there is probably a higher proportion of poor folks in red states voting republican than they do in blue states but even in red states the poor are more likely to vote democratic its the wealthy who are causing the red blue divide that is the wealthy are more likely to defect from their financial interests and they do so obviously in the blue states furthermore it is the wealthy who are arguing over social policy and the poor are sticking to their economic interests most . Rich states vote democratic poor states vote republican and this pattern has become stronger over time this sets up the red blue paradox the simplest explanation would be that democrats now get the support of rich voters with lower income people voting for the republicans but we know from the polls that this is not what is happening income predicts republican voting and the pattern is actually stronger in the united states than in most other countries weve looked at
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